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Cooper Kupp

Seattle Seahawks · WR · #10

SEA @ LV · Sun, Nov 15 4:05 PM
OverUnder2.5
Under 2.5 Receptions, typical price −1666 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 2.5

60%6 of 10L10

Under 2.5 Receptions hit in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

  1. at NE, 2026-02-08: 6, missed, 12 targets
  2. vs NE, 2026-09-09: 2, hit, 3 targets
  3. at ARI, 2026-09-20: 2, hit, 2 targets
  4. at WSH, 2026-09-27: 4, missed, 5 targets
  5. vs LAC, 2026-10-04: 1, hit, 2 targets
  6. vs SF, 2026-10-11: 2, hit, 3 targets
  7. at DEN, 2026-10-15: 5, missed, 10 targets
  8. vs KC, 2026-10-25: 2, hit, 2 targets
  9. vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 1, hit, 3 targets
  10. vs ARI, 2026-11-08: 3, missed, 4 targets
Under hitMissedThe 2.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 1–5 receptions.

What's different on Sunday

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • SunQuarterback

    Sam Darnold: Out (quadriceps). He led SEA in passing in 6 of 9 games this season

    Also led: Drew Lock 3 (Questionable, oblique, led the last game). Under 2.5 with Darnold at quarterback: 13 of 25; with another SEA quarterback: 2 of 3

  • Defense vs wide receivers

    LV allow 10.2 receptions a game to wide receivers: 24th most of 32

    9 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 3 targets · 2026: 3.8 (9 games)

    Target share: 10% last 3 games · 12% over 9 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 8 vs ARI

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LV on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Under 2.5

Average
2.8
+0.3 vs line
Median
2
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
62%
at −166
Books’ fair
58%
margin removed
Our chance
56%
estimate · fair −130

Research, not a pick. At −160 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −130, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−16674 books—0/10
−2454 books—2/10
+1246 books−1664 books6/10
+3204 books—7/10
+8004 books—8/10
+12601 book—9/10
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5Under 2.5
Bovada2 min ago+120−160Best
FanDuel2 min ago+124−166
Pinnacle2 min ago+124−166
betPARX2 min ago+130Best−175
Bally Bet2 min ago+130Best—
BetRivers2 min ago+130Best—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 5:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under: −158 → −166 since first seen

Cooper Kupp's full game log and splits