Christian WatsonQuestionable
GB @ NE · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
Game log against Over 71.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 71.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 17.5–126.4 receiving yards.
What's different on Sunday
Over 71.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Jordan Love led GB in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 71.5 with Love at quarterback: 10 of 36; with another GB quarterback: 1 of 3
Defense vs wide receivers
NE allow 152.1 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 10th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 8.7 targets · 2026: 8.3 (8 games)
Target share: 21% last 3 games · 21% over 8 games this season
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 vs CAR
Splits
Over 71.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against NE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 71.5
- Average
- 85.7
- +14.2 vs line
- Median
- 80
- +8.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 50%
- estimate · fair −100
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −100, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2954 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1864 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1224 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1143 books | −1152 books | 5/10 | |
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 5/10 | |
| −1142 books | −1142 books | 5/10 | |
| +1184 books | — | 5/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 71.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 71.5 | Under 71.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet7 min ago | −114Best | — |
| betPARX7 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| BetRivers7 min ago | −115 | −115 |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:59 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
71.573.5 → 71.5 since first seen