Christian McCaffreyQuestionable

San Francisco 49ers · RB · #23

LV @ SF · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM

Over Under61.5

Under 61.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1173 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 61.5 Rushing Yards hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

vs SEA, 2026-01-03: 23, hit, 8 carries
at PHI, 2026-01-11: 48, hit, 15 carries
at SEA, 2026-01-17: 35, hit, 11 carries
at LAR, 2026-09-10: 68, missed, 10 carries
vs MIA, 2026-09-20: 23, hit, 10 carries
vs ARI, 2026-09-27: 75, missed, 15 carries
vs DEN, 2026-10-04: 52, hit, 15 carries
at SEA, 2026-10-11: 68, missed, 11 carries
vs WSH, 2026-10-19: 64, missed, 16 carries
at ATL, 2026-10-25: 39, hit, 7 carries

Under hitMissedThe 61.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 24.5–80.9 rushing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 61.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunDefense vs running backs
LV allow 129.5 rushing yards a game to running backs: the most of 32
8 games
Quarterback
Brock Purdy led SF in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Under 61.5 with Purdy at quarterback: 10 of 32; with another SF quarterback: 7 of 9
Carries
Last 3: 11.3 carries · 2026: 12 (7 games)
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 at ATL

Splits

Under 61.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LV on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Under 61.5

Average: 49.5; −12 vs line
Median: 50; −11.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −117
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 54%; estimate · fair −115

Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −115, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2504 books	—	5/10
−1274 books	—	6/10
−1152 books	−1252 books	6/10
−1133 books	−1172 books	6/10
−1141 book	−1141 book	6/10
+1434 books	—	9/10
+2454 books	—	10/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 61.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 61.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 61.5	Under 61.5
betPARX5 min ago	−113Best	−115Best
BetRivers5 min ago	−114	−117
Bally Bet7 min ago	−113Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:17 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

61.5

60.5 → 61.5 since first seen