Christian McCaffreyQuestionable

San Francisco 49ers · RB · #23

LV @ SF · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM

Over Under13.5

Under 13.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1224 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 13.5 Rushing Attempts hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

vs SEA, 2026-01-03: 8, hit, 8 carries
at PHI, 2026-01-11: 15, missed, 15 carries
at SEA, 2026-01-17: 11, hit, 11 carries
at LAR, 2026-09-10: 10, hit, 10 carries
vs MIA, 2026-09-20: 10, hit, 10 carries
vs ARI, 2026-09-27: 15, missed, 15 carries
vs DEN, 2026-10-04: 15, missed, 15 carries
at SEA, 2026-10-11: 11, hit, 11 carries
vs WSH, 2026-10-19: 16, missed, 16 carries
at ATL, 2026-10-25: 7, hit, 7 carries

Under hitMissedThe 13.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 6.4–16.6 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Under 13.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Brock Purdy led SF in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Under 13.5 with Purdy at quarterback: 9 of 32; with another SF quarterback: 4 of 9
Defense vs running backs
LV allow 24.4 carries a game to running backs: 7th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 11.3 carries · 2026: 12 (7 games)
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 at ATL

Splits

Under 13.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LV on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Under 13.5

Average: 11.8; −1.7 vs line
Median: 11; −2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −122
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −131

Research, not a pick. At +100 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −131, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3353 books	—	6/10
−1304 books	−1222 books	6/10
+1703 books	—	9/10
+3703 books	—	10/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 13.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 13.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 13.5	Under 13.5
betPARX10 min ago	−130	+100Best
Pinnacle11 min ago	−108Best	−122
Bally Bet10 min ago	−130	—
BetRivers10 min ago	−132	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:09 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

13.5

14.5 → 13.5 since first seen