Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Jacksonville Jaguars · RB · #24

JAX @ BAL · Today 8:15 PM

Over Under31.5

Over 31.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1132 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 31.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

at MIN, 2025-12-07: 52, cleared, 10 carries
vs PHI, 2025-12-20: 63, cleared, 15 carries
at PHI, 2026-01-04: 65, cleared, 16 carries
vs CLE, 2026-09-13: 23, missed, 6 carries
at DEN, 2026-09-20: 13, missed, 6 carries
vs NE, 2026-09-27: 37, cleared, 8 carries
at CIN, 2026-10-04: 35, cleared, 6 carries
vs PHI, 2026-10-11: 5, missed, 2 carries
vs HOU, 2026-10-18: 55, cleared, 11 carries
vs IND, 2026-11-01: 41, cleared, 6 carries

ClearedMissedThe 31.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 7.4–63.8 rushing yards.

What's different today

Over 31.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayRest
3 days off since Nov 1 vs IND: a short week
New team
7 games with JAX; before that, WSH
Over 31.5 with JAX: 4 of 7; his last 10 games before: 6 of 10
Defense vs running backs
BAL allow 82.0 rushing yards a game to running backs: 21st most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 6.3 carries · 2026: 6.4 (7 games)

Splits

Over 31.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 31.5

Average: 38.9; +7.4 vs line
Median: 39; +7.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −113
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 55%; estimate · fair −120

Research, not a pick. At −113 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −120, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3854 books	—	8/10
−1921 book	—	7/10
−1374 books	—	7/10
−1132 books	−1132 books	7/10
—	—	7/10
+1554 books	—	5/10
+3104 books	—	4/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 31.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 31.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 31.5	Under 31.5
FanDuel1 min ago	−113Best	−113
Pinnacle5 min ago	−113Best	−107Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:22 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

31.5

29.5 → 31.5 since first seen