Chris Olave
CLE @ NO · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
Game log against Under 73.5
30%3 of 10L10
Under 73.5 Receiving Yards hit in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 8.1–135.1 receiving yards.
What's different on Sunday
Under 73.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Tyler Shough led NO in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Under 73.5 with Shough at quarterback: 8 of 16; with another NO quarterback: 13 of 23
Defense vs wide receivers
CLE allow 137.9 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 20th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 7.7 targets · 2026: 10.1 (7 games)
Target share: 25% last 3 games · 26% over 7 games this season
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs PIT
Splits
Under 73.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against CLE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Under 73.5
- Average
- 98.8
- +25.3 vs line
- Median
- 96.5
- +23 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 54%
- at −118
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 50%
- estimate · fair +100
Research, not a pick. At −118 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair +100, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1414 books | — | 3/10 | |
| −1142 books | −1142 books | 3/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 3/10 | |
| −1223 books | −1182 books | 3/10 | |
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 3/10 | |
| +1024 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +1434 books | — | 5/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 73.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 73.5 | Under 73.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX7 min ago | −122Best | −118Best |
| BetRivers7 min ago | −122Best | −118Best |
| Bally Bet7 min ago | −122Best | — |
Prices as of 12:50 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
73.572.5 → 73.5 since first seen