Chris Olave
CLE @ NO · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 71.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 71.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 8.1–135.1 receiving yards.
What's different on Sunday
Over 71.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Tyler Shough led NO in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 71.5 with Shough at quarterback: 8 of 16; with another NO quarterback: 10 of 23
Defense vs wide receivers
CLE allow 137.9 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 20th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 7.7 targets · 2026: 10.1 (7 games)
Target share: 25% last 3 games · 26% over 7 games this season
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs PIT
Splits
Over 71.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against CLE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 71.5
- Average
- 98.8
- +27.3 vs line
- Median
- 96.5
- +25 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 50%
- estimate · fair −102
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −102, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3201 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −1941 book | — | 7/10 | |
| −1281 book | — | 7/10 | |
| −1152 books | −1152 books | 7/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 7/10 | |
| — | — | 7/10 | |
| +1201 book | — | 7/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 71.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 71.5 | Under 71.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel15 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Bovada15 min ago | −115 | −115 |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:28 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
71.572.5 → 71.5 since first seen