Chig Okonkwo

Washington Commanders · TE · #85

LAR @ WSH · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Receptions, typical price −1036 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Receptions cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

at CLE, 2025-12-07: 2, missed, 2 targets
at SF, 2025-12-14: 4, cleared, 6 targets
vs KC, 2025-12-21: 6, cleared, 8 targets
vs NO, 2025-12-28: 3, missed, 7 targets
at JAX, 2026-01-04: 2, missed, 5 targets
at PHI, 2026-09-13: 2, missed, 3 targets
vs IND, 2026-10-04: 2, missed, 4 targets
vs NYG, 2026-10-11: 4, cleared, 6 targets
at SF, 2026-10-19: 7, cleared, 7 targets
vs PHI, 2026-11-01: 2, missed, 4 targets

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Jayden Daniels led WSH in passing in 5 of 7 games this season
Also led: Athan Kaliakmanis 1; Marcus Mariota 1. Over 3.5 with Daniels at quarterback: 2 of 4; with another WSH quarterback: 0 of 1
New team
5 games with WSH; before that, TEN
Over 3.5 with WSH: 2 of 5; his last 10 games before: 4 of 10
Defense vs tight ends
LAR allow 5.0 receptions a game to tight ends: 19th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 5.7 targets · 2026: 4.8 (5 games)
Target share: 18% last 3 games · 14% over 5 games this season

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAR in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against LAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs LAR

Receptions: 4 in 6 targets, Sep 14, 2025 (home)

Over 3.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against LAR on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 3.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 2.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −103
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Targets: 5.2; 10 games · 4.6 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−11154 books	—	10/10
−2754 books	—	5/10
−1036 books	−1294 books	4/10
+2204 books	—	2/10
+4754 books	—	2/10
+10504 books	—	1/10
+11001 book	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
Bally Bet6 min ago	+118Best	—
Pinnacle7 min ago	+102	−136
betPARX2 min ago	−103	−129
BetRivers3 min ago	−103	—
Bovada6 min ago	−110	−120
FanDuel2 min ago	−112	−118Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:47 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: +102 → −103 since first seen