Caleb Williams
TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM
Game log against Over 19.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 19.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 19.5 · facts from past games, not a pickBack from an absence
Sunday's game is his 4th back after missing 3 games in a row (Sep 28 – Oct 11)
Over 19.5 since: 0 of 3
Defense vs quarterbacks
TB allow 10.6 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 25th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 3.7 carries · 2026: 5.2 (5 games)
Rest
5 days off since Nov 2 at SEA
Splits
Over 19.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 19.5
- Average
- 23.8
- +4.3 vs line
- Median
- 19
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −125
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Carries
- 4.4
- 10 games · 4.5 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 19.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3854 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −2101 book | — | 7/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/10 | |
| −1255 books | −1142 books | 5/10 | |
| −1143 books | −1152 books | 4/10 | |
| +1421 book | — | 4/10 | |
| +1704 books | — | 4/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 19.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 19.5 | Under 19.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel1 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Pinnacle2 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Bally Bet2 min ago | −125 | — |
| betPARX2 min ago | −125 | — |
| BetRivers2 min ago | −125 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
19.5−114 → −125 since first seen