Caleb Douglas
DET @ MIA · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
What's different on Sunday
Over 37.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunBack from an absence
Sunday's game is his 3rd back after missing 3 games in a row (Sep 27 – Oct 11)
Over 37.5 since: 2 of 2
Defense vs wide receivers
DET allow 175.9 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 6th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 4 targets · 2026: 4.8 (4 games)
Target share: 16% last 3 games · 18% over 4 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs NE
Game log against Over 37.5
75%3 of 4L4
Over 37.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 3 of his last 4 games (1 of 1 at home).
Splits
Over 37.5 · L4 · counts, not in orderNo game against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L4 · Over 37.5
- Average
- 56.5
- +19 vs line
- Median
- 56.5
- +19 vs line
- Hit rate
- 75%
- 3 of 4
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 4.8
- 4 games
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 37.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L4| Line | Over | Under | L4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2101 book | — | 3/4 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 3/4 | |
| — | — | 3/4 | |
| −1141 book | −1141 book | 3/4 | |
| −1141 book | −1141 book | 3/4 | |
| +1421 book | — | 2/4 | |
| +2201 book | — | 2/4 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 37.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 37.5 | Under 37.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle6 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:07 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
37.5No move since first seen