Bryce Young

Carolina Panthers · QB · #9

CAR @ NO · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under244.5

Over 244.5 Passing Yards, typical price −1143 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 244.5 Passing Yards cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

at TB, 2026-01-03: 266, cleared, 35 attempts
vs LAR, 2026-01-10: 264, cleared, 40 attempts
vs CHI, 2026-09-13: 361, cleared, 37 attempts
at ATL, 2026-09-20: 287, cleared, 36 attempts
at CLE, 2026-09-27: 291, cleared, 48 attempts
vs DET, 2026-10-04: 329, cleared, 41 attempts
at PHI, 2026-10-18: 281, cleared, 39 attempts
vs TB, 2026-10-25: 163, missed, 27 attempts
at GB, 2026-10-29: 209, missed, 41 attempts
vs DEN, 2026-11-08: 276, cleared, 39 attempts

ClearedMissedThe 244.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 168.1–329.2 passing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 244.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
NO allow 255.6 passing yards a game to quarterbacks: 4th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 35.7 attempts · 2026: 38.5 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs DEN
Game lines
CAR +2 · total 48.5 (5 sportsbooks)
CAR's games this season closed at 45.1 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 244.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NO in his last 10; Over 244.5 cleared in 0 of 5 against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NO

Passing Yards: 163 in 24 attempts, Dec 14, 2025 (away)

Over 244.5 hit in 0 of 5 games against NO on record

L10 · Over 244.5

Average: 272.7; +28.2 vs line
Median: 278.5; +34 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 55%; estimate · fair −123

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −123, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7001 book	—	9/10
−3501 book	—	9/10
−2354 books	—	8/10
−1143 books	−1143 books	8/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	8/10
−1184 books	−1222 books	8/10
+1554 books	—	6/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 244.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 244.5 Passing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 244.5	Under 244.5
FanDuel14 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Pinnacle14 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Bovada14 min ago	−115	−115

Prices as of 6:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

244.5

248.5 → 244.5 since first seen