Bryce Young

Carolina Panthers · QB · #9

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under228.5

Over 228.5 Passing Yards, typical price −1144 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 228.5 Passing Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

vs SEA, 2025-12-28: 54, missed, 24 attempts
at TB, 2026-01-03: 266, cleared, 35 attempts
vs LAR, 2026-01-10: 264, cleared, 40 attempts
vs CHI, 2026-09-13: 361, cleared, 37 attempts
at ATL, 2026-09-20: 287, cleared, 36 attempts
at CLE, 2026-09-27: 291, cleared, 48 attempts
vs DET, 2026-10-04: 329, cleared, 41 attempts
at PHI, 2026-10-18: 281, cleared, 39 attempts
vs TB, 2026-10-25: 163, missed, 27 attempts
at GB, 2026-10-29: 209, missed, 41 attempts

ClearedMissedThe 228.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 166.8–340.8 passing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 228.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
DEN allow 246.6 passing yards a game to quarterbacks: 9th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 35.7 attempts · 2026: 38.4 (7 games)
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 at GB
Game lines
CAR +2.5 · total 44 (7 sportsbooks)
CAR's games this season closed at 45.2 on average (7 games)

Splits

Over 228.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DEN in his last 10; Over 228.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against DEN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs DEN

Passing Yards: 224 in 37 attempts, Oct 27, 2024 (away)

Over 228.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against DEN on record

L10 · Over 228.5

Average: 250.5; +22 vs line
Median: 273.5; +45 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −136

Research, not a pick. At −113 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −136, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
pick'em only	pick'em only	7/10
−1254 books	—	7/10
−1141 book	−1141 book	7/10
−1144 books	−1153 books	7/10
+1201 book	−1601 book	7/10
+1504 books	—	7/10
+2804 books	—	5/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 228.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 228.5 Passing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 228.5	Under 228.5
Bally Bet9 min ago	−113Best	—
betPARX8 min ago	−113Best	−115Best
BetRivers7 min ago	−114	−117
Bovada9 min ago	−115	−115Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:47 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

228.5

229.5 → 228.5 since first seen