Bryce Young

Carolina Panthers · QB · #9

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Passing TDs, typical price +1085 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

vs SEA, 2025-12-28: 0, missed, 24 attempts
at TB, 2026-01-03: 2, cleared, 35 attempts
vs LAR, 2026-01-10: 1, missed, 40 attempts
vs CHI, 2026-09-13: 3, cleared, 37 attempts
at ATL, 2026-09-20: 3, cleared, 36 attempts
at CLE, 2026-09-27: 1, missed, 48 attempts
vs DET, 2026-10-04: 2, cleared, 41 attempts
at PHI, 2026-10-18: 2, cleared, 39 attempts
vs TB, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 27 attempts
at GB, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 41 attempts

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 0–3 passing tds.

What's different on Sunday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
DEN allow 1.38 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 17th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 35.7 attempts · 2026: 38.4 (7 games)
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 at GB
Game lines
CAR +2.5 · total 44 (7 sportsbooks)
CAR's games this season closed at 45.2 on average (7 games)

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DEN in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against DEN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs DEN

Passing TDs: 2 in 37 attempts, Oct 27, 2024 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against DEN on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 48%; at +108
Books’ fair: 45%; margin removed
Our chance: 48%; estimate · fair +108

Research, not a pick. At +110 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair +108, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5604 books	—	9/10
+1085 books	−1434 books	5/10
+4304 books	—	2/10
+12801 book	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Passing TDs, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet4 min ago	+110Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	+110Best	−143
BetRivers4 min ago	+108	−143
FanDuel4 min ago	+104	−138Best
Pinnacle4 min ago	+104	−138Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:46 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +110 → +108 since first seen