Bryce Young
DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PMGame log against Over 238.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 238.5 Pass+Rush Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 176.6–351.8 pass+rush yards.
What's different on Sunday
Over 238.5 · facts from past games, not a pickPass attempts + carries
Last 3: 37 attempts + carries · 2026: 39.9 (7 games)
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 at GB
Game lines
CAR +2.5 · total 44.5 (9 sportsbooks)
CAR's games this season closed at 45.2 on average (7 games)
DEN injuries
Brandon Jones (S, Questionable, 6 tackles); Talanoa Hufanga (S, Questionable, 4.9 tackles); Eyioma Uwazurike (DE, Questionable, 2.6 tackles)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10) · 1 more on the report
Splits
Over 238.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against DEN in his last 10; Over 238.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against DEN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs DEN
Pass+Rush Yards: 230 in 40 attempts + carries, Oct 27, 2024 (away)
Over 238.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against DEN on record
L10 · Over 238.5
- Average
- 258.9
- +20.4 vs line
- Median
- 287.5
- +49 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −113
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −136
Research, not a pick. At −113 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −136, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3603 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1653 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 7/10 | |
| −1133 books | −1172 books | 7/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 7/10 | |
| +1183 books | — | 7/10 | |
| +2203 books | — | 6/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 238.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 238.5 | Under 238.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet6 min ago | −113Best | — |
| betPARX6 min ago | −113Best | −115Best |
| BetRivers7 min ago | −114 | −117 |
Prices as of 3:14 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
238.5242.5 → 238.5 since first seen


