Bryce Young

Carolina Panthers · QB · #9

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under21.5

Over 21.5 Completions, typical price −1375 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different on Sunday

Over 21.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
DEN allow 22.4 completions a game to quarterbacks: 11th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 35.7 attempts · 2026: 38.4 (7 games)
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 at GB
Game lines
CAR +3 · total 44 (8 sportsbooks)
CAR's games this season closed at 45.2 on average (7 games)

60%6 of 10L10

Over 21.5 Completions cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

vs SEA, 2025-12-28: 14, missed, 24 attempts
at TB, 2026-01-03: 24, cleared, 35 attempts
vs LAR, 2026-01-10: 21, missed, 40 attempts
vs CHI, 2026-09-13: 23, cleared, 37 attempts
at ATL, 2026-09-20: 23, cleared, 36 attempts
at CLE, 2026-09-27: 26, cleared, 48 attempts
vs DET, 2026-10-04: 29, cleared, 41 attempts
at PHI, 2026-10-18: 20, missed, 39 attempts
vs TB, 2026-10-25: 14, missed, 27 attempts
at GB, 2026-10-29: 23, cleared, 41 attempts

ClearedMissedThe 21.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 15.9–28.7 completions.

Splits

Over 21.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DEN in his last 10; Over 21.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against DEN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs DEN

Completions: 24 in 37 attempts, Oct 27, 2024 (away)

Over 21.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against DEN on record

L10 · Over 21.5

Average: 21.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 23; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 58%; at −137
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −130

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −130, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3603 books	—	8/10
−1375 books	−1142 books	6/10
+1043 books	−1361 book	6/10
+1453 books	—	3/10
+2753 books	—	2/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 21.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 21.5 Completions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 21.5	Under 21.5
Pinnacle6 min ago	−114Best	−114
Bovada6 min ago	−130	+100Best
Bally Bet6 min ago	−137	—
betPARX6 min ago	−137	—
BetRivers6 min ago	−137	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:57 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

21.5

22.5 → 21.5 since first seen