Brock Bowers

Las Vegas Raiders · TE · #89

SEA @ LV · Sun, Nov 15 4:05 PM

Over Under5.5

Over 5.5 Receptions, typical price +1056 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 5.5 Receptions cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

vs DEN, 2025-12-07: 4, missed, 5 targets
at PHI, 2025-12-14: 6, cleared, 8 targets
at HOU, 2025-12-21: 5, missed, 5 targets
at NO, 2026-09-27: 10, cleared, 13 targets
vs KC, 2026-10-04: 6, cleared, 11 targets
at NE, 2026-10-11: 8, cleared, 10 targets
vs BUF, 2026-10-18: 4, missed, 9 targets
vs LAR, 2026-10-25: 6, cleared, 8 targets
at NYJ, 2026-11-01: 7, cleared, 10 targets
at SF, 2026-11-08: 7, cleared, 8 targets

ClearedMissedThe 5.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 3–9 receptions.

What's different on Sunday

Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Kirk Cousins led LV in passing in 9 of 9 games this season
Over 5.5 with Cousins at quarterback: 6 of 7; with another LV quarterback: 13 of 29
Defense vs tight ends
SEA allow 5.6 receptions a game to tight ends: 12th most of 32
9 games
Targets
Last 3: 8.7 targets · 2026: 9.9 (7 games)
Target share: 25% last 3 games · 26% over 7 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at SF

Splits

Over 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against SEA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 5.5

Average: 6.3; +0.8 vs line
Median: 6; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 49%; at +105
Books’ fair: 47%; margin removed
Our chance: 55%; estimate · fair −120

Research, not a pick. At +107 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −120, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−16674 books	—	10/10
−4804 books	—	10/10
−1954 books	—	8/10
+1056 books	−1354 books	7/10
+2004 books	—	4/10
+3704 books	—	2/10
+7004 books	—	1/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 5.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 5.5	Under 5.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	+107Best	—
betPARX3 min ago	+107Best	−139
BetRivers3 min ago	+106	—
Bovada3 min ago	+105	−135
FanDuel3 min ago	−102	−130
Pinnacle4 min ago	−105	−126Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

+106 → +105 since first seen