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Brock Bowers

Las Vegas Raiders · TE · #89

LV @ SF · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
OverUnder75.5
Over 75.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1154 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 75.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 75.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

  1. at LAC, 2025-11-30: 63, missed, 4 targets
  2. vs DEN, 2025-12-07: 46, missed, 5 targets
  3. at PHI, 2025-12-14: 28, missed, 8 targets
  4. at HOU, 2025-12-21: 33, missed, 5 targets
  5. at NO, 2026-09-27: 116, cleared, 13 targets
  6. vs KC, 2026-10-04: 86, cleared, 11 targets
  7. at NE, 2026-10-11: 110, cleared, 10 targets
  8. vs BUF, 2026-10-18: 70, missed, 9 targets
  9. vs LAR, 2026-10-25: 73, missed, 8 targets
  10. at NYJ, 2026-11-01: 92, cleared, 10 targets
ClearedMissedThe 75.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 42–98.4 receiving yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 75.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Quarterback

    Kirk Cousins led LV in passing in 8 of 8 games this season

    Over 75.5 with Cousins at quarterback: 4 of 6; with another LV quarterback: 9 of 29

  • Defense vs tight ends

    SF allow 43.6 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 26th most of 32

    7 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 9 targets · 2026: 10.2 (6 games)

    Target share: 24% last 3 games · 26% over 6 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at NYJ

Splits

Over 75.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against SF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 75.5

Average
71.7
−3.8 vs line
Median
71.5
−4 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −115
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
50%
estimate · fair −101

Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −101, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2404 books—7/10
−1504 books—6/10
——4/10
−1154 books−1143 books4/10
−1143 books−1143 books4/10
+1044 books—4/10
+1504 books—3/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 75.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 75.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 75.5Under 75.5
Bally Bet5 min ago−115Best—
betPARX3 min ago−115Best−113Best
Bovada5 min ago−115Best−115
BetRivers3 min ago−117−114
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 5:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

75.5

76.5 → 75.5 since first seen

Brock Bowers's full game log and splits