Brian Thomas Jr.
JAX @ BAL · Today 8:15 PM
Game log against Over 12.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 12.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 3 on the road).
What's different today
Over 12.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayRest
3 days off since Nov 1 vs IND: a short week
Quarterback
Trevor Lawrence led JAX in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 12.5 with Lawrence at quarterback: 26 of 31; with another JAX quarterback: 7 of 8
Defense vs wide receivers
BAL allow 177.6 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 5th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 2.3 targets · 2026: 3 (7 games)
Target share: 7% last 3 games · 10% over 7 games this season
Splits
Over 12.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against BAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 12.5
- Average
- 22.6
- +10.1 vs line
- Median
- 19
- +6.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −113
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 3.5
- 10 games · 6.2 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 12.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2601 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −1434 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1153 books | −1142 books | 7/10 | |
| −1132 books | −1132 books | 6/10 | |
| −1101 book | −1201 book | 6/10 | |
| +1041 book | — | 6/10 | |
| +1634 books | — | 5/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 12.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 12.5 | Under 12.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle8 min ago | −112Best | −112Best |
| FanDuel1 min ago | −113 | −113 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:36 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
12.510.5 → 12.5 since first seen