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Blake Corum

Los Angeles Rams · RB · #24

LAR @ ARI · Sun, Nov 15 4:05 PM
OverUnder62.5
Under 62.5 Rush+Rec Yards, typical price −1131 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 62.5

50%5 of 10L10

Under 62.5 Rush+Rec Yards hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

  1. at SEA, 2026-01-25: 79, missed, 12 carries + targets
  2. vs SF, 2026-09-10: 54, hit, 10 carries + targets
  3. vs NYG, 2026-09-21: 92, missed, 13 carries + targets
  4. at DEN, 2026-09-27: 15, hit, 10 carries + targets
  5. at PHI, 2026-10-04: 21, hit, 7 carries + targets
  6. vs BUF, 2026-10-12: 72, missed, 9 carries + targets
  7. vs ARI, 2026-10-18: 60, hit, 11 carries + targets
  8. at LV, 2026-10-25: 101, missed, 18 carries + targets
  9. vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 73, missed, 12 carries + targets
  10. at WSH, 2026-11-08: 58, hit, 13 carries + targets
Under hitMissedThe 62.5 lineCarries + targets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 20.2–93.8 rush+rec yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 62.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Quarterback

    Matthew Stafford led LAR in passing in 9 of 9 games this season

    Under 62.5 with Stafford at quarterback: 33 of 42; with another LAR quarterback: 1 of 1

  • Defense vs running backs

    ARI allow 133.2 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 11th most of 32

    9 games

  • Carries + targets

    Last 3: 14.3 carries + targets · 2026: 11.4 (9 games)

    Target share: 4% last 3 games · 5% over 8 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 8 at WSH

Splits

Under 62.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs ARI

Rush+Rec Yards: 60 in 11 carries + targets, Oct 18 (home)

Under 62.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against ARI on record

L10 · Under 62.5

Average
62.5
±0 vs line
Median
66
+3.5 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −113
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
53%
estimate · fair −113

Research, not a pick. At −113 the price is worse than our fair −113, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1151 book−1131 book5/10
——5/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 62.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 62.5 Rush+Rec Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 62.5Under 62.5
FanDuel5 min ago−115Best−113Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 5:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

62.5

63.5 → 62.5 since first seen

Blake Corum's full game log and splits