Bijan Robinson

Atlanta Falcons · RB · #7

CIN @ ATL · Sun, Nov 8 9:30 AM

Over Under19.5

Under 19.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1604 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 19.5 Rushing Attempts hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

vs LAR, 2025-12-29: 22, missed, 22 carries
vs NO, 2026-01-04: 15, hit, 15 carries
at PIT, 2026-09-13: 21, missed, 21 carries
vs CAR, 2026-09-20: 16, hit, 16 carries
at GB, 2026-09-24: 29, missed, 29 carries
at NO, 2026-10-05: 19, hit, 19 carries
vs BAL, 2026-10-11: 17, hit, 17 carries
vs CHI, 2026-10-18: 9, hit, 9 carries
vs SF, 2026-10-25: 20, missed, 20 carries
at TB, 2026-11-01: 19, hit, 19 carries

Under hitMissedThe 19.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 8.9–23.2 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Under 19.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Michael Penix Jr. led ATL in passing in 6 of 8 games this season
Also led: Cooper Rush 2. Under 19.5 with Penix at quarterback: 12 of 18; with another ATL quarterback: 23 of 33
Defense vs running backs
CIN allow 19.7 carries a game to running backs: 27th most of 32
7 games
Carries
Last 3: 16 carries · 2026: 18.8 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at TB

Splits

Under 19.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Under 19.5

Average: 18.7; −0.8 vs line
Median: 19; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −160
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −161

Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −161, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4553 books	—	2/10
−2203 books	—	4/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	4/10
−1214 books	−1602 books	6/10
+1433 books	—	8/10
+2403 books	—	9/10
+3803 books	—	9/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 19.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 19.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 19.5	Under 19.5
betPARX4 min ago	−121	−120Best
Pinnacle4 min ago	+120Best	−160
Bally Bet4 min ago	−121	—
BetRivers2 min ago	−121	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:45 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

19.5

−118 → −160 since first seen