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Bijan Robinson

Atlanta Falcons · RB · #7

CIN @ ATL · Sun, Nov 8 9:30 AM
OverUnder19.5
Over 19.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1183 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 19.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Quarterback

    Michael Penix Jr. led ATL in passing in 6 of 8 games this season

    Also led: Cooper Rush 2. Over 19.5 with Penix at quarterback: 6 of 18; with another ATL quarterback: 10 of 33

  • Defense vs running backs

    CIN allow 19.7 carries a game to running backs: 27th most of 32

    7 games

  • Carries

    Last 3: 16 carries · 2026: 18.8 (8 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at TB

Game log against Over 19.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 19.5 Rushing Attempts cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 at home).

  1. vs LAR, 2025-12-29: 22, cleared, 22 carries
  2. vs NO, 2026-01-04: 15, missed, 15 carries
  3. at PIT, 2026-09-13: 21, cleared, 21 carries
  4. vs CAR, 2026-09-20: 16, missed, 16 carries
  5. at GB, 2026-09-24: 29, cleared, 29 carries
  6. at NO, 2026-10-05: 19, missed, 19 carries
  7. vs BAL, 2026-10-11: 17, missed, 17 carries
  8. vs CHI, 2026-10-18: 9, missed, 9 carries
  9. vs SF, 2026-10-25: 20, cleared, 20 carries
  10. at TB, 2026-11-01: 19, missed, 19 carries
ClearedMissedThe 19.5 lineCarries

Count only

Over 19.5 · L10

L10 · Over 19.5

Average
18.7
−0.8 vs line
Median
19
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
54%
at −118
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Carries
18.7
10 games · 16.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 19.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−11153 books—9/10
−4353 books—8/10
−2203 books—6/10
−1183 books−1221 book4/10
+1483 books—2/10
+2453 books—1/10
+3903 books—1/10
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 19.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 19.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 19.5Under 19.5
Bally Bet3 min ago−118Best—
betPARX3 min ago−118Best−122Best
BetRivers3 min ago−118Best—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 1:33 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

19.5

−122 → −118 since first seen

Bijan Robinson's full game log and splits