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Bhayshul TutenQuestionable

Jacksonville Jaguars · RB · #33

JAX @ BAL · Thu, Nov 5 8:15 PM
OverUnder1.5
Over 1.5 Receptions, typical price −2051 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TonightTargets

    Last 3: 3 targets · 2026: 2.3 (7 games) · up 30%

    Target share: 9% last 3 games · 8% over 7 games this season

  • TonightRest

    3 days off since Nov 1 vs IND: a short week

  • Defense vs running backs

    BAL allow 4.3 receptions a game to running backs: 17th most of 32

    8 games

  • Game lines

    JAX −9.5 · total 42.5 (5 sportsbooks)

    JAX's games this season closed at 44.8 on average (7 games)

Game log against Over 1.5

60%6 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Receptions cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

  1. at ARI, 2025-11-23: 0, missed, 1 targets
  2. at TEN, 2025-11-30: 1, missed, 1 targets
  3. vs NYJ, 2025-12-14: 1, missed, 1 targets
  4. vs CLE, 2026-09-13: 1, missed, 1 targets
  5. at DEN, 2026-09-20: 2, cleared, 2 targets
  6. vs NE, 2026-09-27: 2, cleared, 2 targets
  7. at CIN, 2026-10-04: 2, cleared, 2 targets
  8. vs PHI, 2026-10-11: 2, cleared, 3 targets
  9. vs HOU, 2026-10-18: 4, cleared, 4 targets
  10. vs IND, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 2 targets
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 lineTargets

Count only

Over 1.5 · L10

L10 · Over 1.5

Average
1.7
+0.2 vs line
Median
2
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
67%
at −205
Books’ fair
63%
margin removed
Targets
1.9
10 games · 1.4 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 63%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2051 book+1521 book6/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
Pinnacle12 min ago−205Best+152Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 9:25 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over −195 → −205 since first seen

Bhayshul Tuten's full game log and splits