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Ashton Jeanty

Las Vegas Raiders · RB · #2

SEA @ LV · Sun, Nov 15 4:05 PM
OverUnder10.5
Under 10.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1343 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 10.5

50%5 of 10L10

Under 10.5 Rushing Attempts hit in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

  1. vs KC, 2026-01-04: 26, missed, 26 carries
  2. vs MIA, 2026-09-13: 23, missed, 23 carries
  3. at LAC, 2026-09-20: 21, missed, 21 carries
  4. at NO, 2026-09-27: 19, missed, 19 carries
  5. vs KC, 2026-10-04: 15, missed, 15 carries
  6. at NE, 2026-10-11: 10, hit, 10 carries
  7. vs BUF, 2026-10-18: 10, hit, 10 carries
  8. vs LAR, 2026-10-25: 8, hit, 8 carries
  9. at NYJ, 2026-11-01: 2, hit, 2 carries
  10. at SF, 2026-11-08: 6, hit, 6 carries
Under hitMissedThe 10.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 2.1–20.6 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Under 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • SunCarries

    Last 3: 5.3 carries · 2026: 12.7 (9 games) · down 58%

  • Quarterback

    Kirk Cousins led LV in passing in 9 of 9 games this season

    Under 10.5 with Cousins at quarterback: 5 of 9; with another LV quarterback: 4 of 17

  • Defense vs running backs

    SEA allow 21.7 carries a game to running backs: 20th most of 32

    9 games

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 8 at SF

Splits

Under 10.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against SEA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Under 10.5

Average
14
+3.5 vs line
Median
12.5
+2 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
57%
at −134
Books’ fair
54%
margin removed
Our chance
53%
estimate · fair −112

Research, not a pick. At −134 the price is worse than our fair −112, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−4803 books—2/10
−1553 books—3/10
+1023 books−1341 book5/10
+1553 books—5/10
+3403 books—5/10
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 10.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 10.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 10.5Under 10.5
betPARX5 min ago+102Best−134Best
Bally Bet5 min ago+102Best—
BetRivers5 min ago+102Best—
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:11 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

10.5

No move since first seen

Ashton Jeanty's full game log and splits