Ashton Jeanty

Las Vegas Raiders · RB · #2

SEA @ LV · Sun, Nov 15 4:05 PM

Over Under25.5

Over 25.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1186 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 25.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs KC, 2026-01-04: 7, missed, 5 targets
vs MIA, 2026-09-13: 45, cleared, 6 targets
at LAC, 2026-09-20: 15, missed, 7 targets
at NO, 2026-09-27: 37, cleared, 3 targets
vs KC, 2026-10-04: 68, cleared, 8 targets
at NE, 2026-10-11: 50, cleared, 6 targets
vs BUF, 2026-10-18: 36, cleared, 6 targets
vs LAR, 2026-10-25: 61, cleared, 8 targets
at NYJ, 2026-11-01: 64, cleared, 4 targets
at SF, 2026-11-08: -5, missed, 7 targets

ClearedMissedThe 25.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 11.3–72.7 receiving yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 25.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Kirk Cousins led LV in passing in 9 of 9 games this season
Over 25.5 with Cousins at quarterback: 7 of 9; with another LV quarterback: 6 of 16
Defense vs running backs
SEA allow 27.1 receiving yards a game to running backs: 25th most of 32
9 games
Targets
Last 3: 6.3 targets · 2026: 6.1 (9 games)
Target share: 18% last 3 games · 17% over 9 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at SF

Splits

Over 25.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against SEA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 25.5

Average: 37.8; +12.3 vs line
Median: 41; +15.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −118
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −162

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −162, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3101 book	—	8/10
−2004 books	—	7/10
−1251 book	—	7/10
−1186 books	−1125 books	7/10
+1164 books	—	7/10
+2304 books	—	5/10
+4204 books	—	4/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 25.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 25.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 25.5	Under 25.5
FanDuel8 min ago	−114Best	−114
Pinnacle9 min ago	−114Best	−114
Bally Bet9 min ago	−118	—
betPARX9 min ago	−118	−110Best
BetRivers9 min ago	−120	−112
Bovada8 min ago	−120	−110Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

25.5

−114 → −118 since first seen