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Antonio Williams

Washington Commanders · WR · #14

LAR @ WSH · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder4.5
Over 4.5 Receptions, typical price +1235 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 4.5

14%1 of 7L7

Over 4.5 Receptions cleared in 1 of his last 7 games (1 of 4 at home).

  1. at PHI, 2026-09-13: 4, missed, 4 targets
  2. at DAL, 2026-09-20: 3, missed, 3 targets
  3. vs SEA, 2026-09-27: 2, missed, 4 targets
  4. vs IND, 2026-10-04: 3, missed, 8 targets
  5. vs NYG, 2026-10-11: 3, missed, 3 targets
  6. at SF, 2026-10-19: 3, missed, 4 targets
  7. vs PHI, 2026-11-01: 5, cleared, 7 targets
ClearedMissedThe 4.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • SunDefense vs wide receivers

    LAR allow 8.8 receptions a game to wide receivers: the fewest of 32

    8 games

  • Quarterback

    Jayden Daniels led WSH in passing in 5 of 7 games this season

    Also led: Athan Kaliakmanis 1; Marcus Mariota 1. Over 4.5 with Daniels at quarterback: 1 of 5; with another WSH quarterback: 0 of 2

  • Targets

    Last 3: 4.7 targets · 2026: 4.7 (7 games)

    Target share: 15% last 3 games · 14% over 7 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 vs PHI

Splits

Over 4.5 · L7 · counts, not in order

No game against LAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L7 · Over 4.5

Average
3.3
−1.2 vs line
Median
3
−1.5 vs line
Hit rate
14%
1 of 7
Price implies
45%
at +123
Books’ fair
43%
margin removed
Targets
4.7
7 games

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 43%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L7
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL7
−4804 books—6/7
−1825 books+1232 books2/7
pick'em onlypick'em only1/7
+1235 books−1592 books1/7
+2404 books—0/7
+4604 books—0/7
+9004 books—0/7
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 4.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 4.5Under 4.5
Bally Bet4 min ago+123Best—
betPARX4 min ago+123Best−159
BetRivers2 min ago+123Best—
Bovada4 min ago+115−150Best
FanDuel2 min ago+102—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 1:27 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

3.5 → 4.5 since first seen

Antonio Williams's full game log and splits