Alvin KamaraQuestionable

New Orleans Saints · RB · #41

CLE @ NO · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under7.5

Under 7.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1223 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 7.5 Rushing Attempts hit in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 at home).

vs TB, 2025-10-26: 6, hit, 6 carries
at LAR, 2025-11-02: 6, hit, 6 carries
at CAR, 2025-11-09: 22, missed, 22 carries
vs ATL, 2025-11-23: 3, hit, 3 carries
at BAL, 2026-09-20: 9, missed, 9 carries
vs LV, 2026-09-27: 9, missed, 9 carries
vs ATL, 2026-10-05: 7, hit, 7 carries
vs MIN, 2026-10-11: 3, hit, 3 carries
at NYG, 2026-10-18: 7, hit, 7 carries
vs PIT, 2026-10-25: 6, hit, 6 carries

Under hitMissedThe 7.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 3.1–13.3 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Under 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Tyler Shough led NO in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Under 7.5 with Shough at quarterback: 7 of 10; with another NO quarterback: 2 of 28
Defense vs running backs
CLE allow 23.6 carries a game to running backs: 12th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 5.3 carries · 2026: 6.8 (6 games)
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs PIT

Splits

Under 7.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CLE in his last 10; Under 7.5 hit in 0 of 1 against CLE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CLE

Rushing Attempts: 16 in 16 carries, Nov 17, 2024 (home)

Under 7.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against CLE on record

L10 · Under 7.5

Average: 7.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 6.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −122
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 52%; estimate · fair −110

Research, not a pick. At −122 the price is worse than our fair −110, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−20003 books	—	2/10
−3603 books	—	2/10
−1183 books	−1221 book	7/10
+2053 books	—	9/10
+4403 books	—	9/10
+9503 books	—	9/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 7.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 7.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 7.5	Under 7.5
betPARX4 min ago	−118Best	−122Best
Bally Bet3 min ago	−118Best	—
BetRivers3 min ago	−118Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

7.5

Under: −120 → −122 since first seen