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Adonai Mitchell

New York Jets · WR · #15

NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder3.5
—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

Game log against Over 3.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Receptions cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

  1. vs ATL, 2025-11-30: 8, cleared, 12 targets
  2. vs MIA, 2025-12-07: 1, missed, 6 targets
  3. at JAX, 2025-12-14: 6, cleared, 9 targets
  4. at NO, 2025-12-21: 3, missed, 6 targets
  5. vs NE, 2025-12-28: 3, missed, 9 targets
  6. at BUF, 2026-01-04: 0, missed, 3 targets
  7. at TEN, 2026-09-13: 3, missed, 3 targets
  8. vs GB, 2026-09-20: 6, cleared, 12 targets
  9. vs MIA, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 3 targets
  10. vs LV, 2026-11-01: 7, cleared, 9 targets
ClearedMissedThe 3.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • SunBack from an absence

    Sunday's game is his 3rd back after missing 4 games in a row (Sep 27 – Oct 18)

    Over 3.5 since: 1 of 2

  • Quarterback

    Geno Smith led NYJ in passing in 8 of 8 games this season

    Over 3.5 with Smith at quarterback: 2 of 4; with another NYJ quarterback: 2 of 8

  • Defense vs wide receivers

    KC allow 10.1 receptions a game to wide receivers: 23rd most of 32

    7 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 8 targets · 2026: 6.8 (4 games)

    Target share: 23% last 3 games · 21% over 4 games this season

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against KC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 3.5

Average
3.7
+0.2 vs line
Median
3
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
—
1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Targets
7.2
10 games · 4.6 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
pick'em onlypick'em only4/10
Compare 1 pick'em app at 3.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 3.5Under 3.5
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 2:32 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

2.5 → 3.5 since we started recording it

Adonai Mitchell's full game log and splits

This page last updated 2:33 PM ET.