Adonai Mitchell
NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
What's different tonight
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick6 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came before Mitchell missed 4 games. Since he came back: Over 2.5 in 1 of 2.
TonightBack from an absence
Tonight is his 3rd game back after missing 4 games in a row (Sep 27 – Oct 18)
Over 2.5 since: 1 of 2
Quarterback
Geno Smith led NYJ in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 2.5 with Smith at quarterback: 3 of 4; with another NYJ quarterback: 4 of 8
Defense vs wide receivers
KC allow 10.1 receptions a game to wide receivers: 23rd most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 8 targets · 2026: 6.8 (4 games)
Target share: 23% last 3 games · 21% over 4 games this season
Game log against Over 2.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Receptions cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).
Count only
Over 2.5 · L10L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 3.7
- +1.2 vs line
- Median
- 3
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- —
- 1 pick'em app, no price
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Targets
- 7.2
- 10 games · 4.6 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 7/10 |
Compare 1 pick'em app at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:41 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.