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Aaron Rodgers

Pittsburgh Steelers · QB · #8

PIT @ CIN · Sun, Nov 15 8:20 PM
OverUnder1.5
Over 1.5 Passing TDs, typical price −1035 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 1.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

  1. vs BAL, 2026-01-04: 1, missed, 47 attempts
  2. vs HOU, 2026-01-12: 0, missed, 33 attempts
  3. vs ATL, 2026-09-13: 1, missed, 40 attempts
  4. at NE, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 39 attempts
  5. vs CIN, 2026-09-27: 3, cleared, 34 attempts
  6. at CLE, 2026-10-01: 3, cleared, 40 attempts
  7. vs IND, 2026-10-11: 3, cleared, 31 attempts
  8. at TB, 2026-10-18: 2, cleared, 49 attempts
  9. at NO, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 30 attempts
  10. vs CLE, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 25 attempts
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linePass attempts

What's different on Sunday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Defense vs quarterbacks

    CIN allow 1.13 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 27th most of 32

    8 games

  • Pass attempts

    Last 3: 34.7 attempts · 2026: 36 (8 games)

  • Rest

    13 days off since Nov 1 vs CLE

  • Game lines

    PIT +3.5 · total 49.5 (8 sportsbooks)

    PIT's games this season closed at 40.5 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CIN

Passing TDs: 3 in 34 attempts, Sep 27 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against CIN on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average
1.4
−0.1 vs line
Median
1
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
51%
at −103
Books’ fair
48%
margin removed
Pass attempts
36.8
10 games · 31.2 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−6254 books—7/10
−1035 books−1294 books4/10
+3904 books—3/10
+11001 book—0/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Passing TDs, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
Bally Bet2 min ago−103Best—
betPARX2 min ago−103Best−129
BetRivers2 min ago−103Best−129
FanDuel2 min ago−106−125
Bovada2 min ago−115−115Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:10 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +102 → −103 since first seen

Aaron Rodgers's full game log and splits