Aaron Rodgers

Pittsburgh Steelers · QB · #8

PIT @ CIN · Sun, Nov 15 8:20 PM

Over Under35.5

Under 35.5 Passing Attempts, typical price −1254 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 35.5 Passing Attempts hit in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

vs BAL, 2026-01-04: 47, missed, 47 attempts
vs HOU, 2026-01-12: 33, hit, 33 attempts
vs ATL, 2026-09-13: 40, missed, 40 attempts
at NE, 2026-09-20: 39, missed, 39 attempts
vs CIN, 2026-09-27: 34, hit, 34 attempts
at CLE, 2026-10-01: 40, missed, 40 attempts
vs IND, 2026-10-11: 31, hit, 31 attempts
at TB, 2026-10-18: 49, missed, 49 attempts
at NO, 2026-10-25: 30, hit, 30 attempts
vs CLE, 2026-11-01: 25, hit, 25 attempts

Under hitMissedThe 35.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 24.4–43.7 passing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Under 35.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
CIN allow 34.0 pass attempts a game to quarterbacks: 13th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 34.7 attempts · 2026: 36 (8 games)
Rest
13 days off since Nov 1 vs CLE
Game lines
PIT +3.5 · total 49.5 (8 sportsbooks)
PIT's games this season closed at 40.5 on average (8 games)

Splits

Under 35.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CIN

Passing Attempts: 34 in 34 attempts, Sep 27 (home)

Under 35.5 hit in 3 of 3 games against CIN on record

L10 · Under 35.5

Average: 36.8; +1.3 vs line
Median: 36.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 54%; estimate · fair −116

Research, not a pick. At −110 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −116, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5603 books	—	1/10
−2953 books	—	3/10
−1673 books	—	4/10
−1054 books	−1253 books	5/10
−1021 book	−1301 book	5/10
+1503 books	—	5/10
+2303 books	—	6/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 35.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 35.5 Passing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 35.5	Under 35.5
Bovada2 min ago	−120	−110Best
betPARX2 min ago	−104Best	−125
BetRivers2 min ago	−105	−127
Bally Bet2 min ago	−104Best	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:10 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

35.5

−127 → −125 since first seen