Zion Williamson

New Orleans Pelicans · F · #1

UTAH @ NO · Tomorrow 8:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Assists, typical price −1692 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs forwards
UTAH allow 6.1 assists a game to forwards: 28th most of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Jordan Poole: Out (ankle)
Over 2.5 without him: 18 of 31; with him: 22 of 38 (69 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 2.5 without him: 7 of 12; with him: 33 of 57 (69 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 32.2 min · 2025–26: 29.7 (62 games)

50%5 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Assists cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

at POR, 2026-04-02: 3, cleared, 29 min
at SAC, 2026-04-03: 3, cleared, 29 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-05: 2, missed, 28 min
vs IND, 2026-10-21: 3, cleared, 32 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 2, missed, 33 min
at DEN, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 33 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 2, missed, 32 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-29: 2, missed, 31 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-31: 4, cleared, 30 min
at MEM, 2026-11-02: 4, cleared, 35 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Trey Murphy IIIFDay-To-Day
Jordan PooleGOut
Yves MissiCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Assists: 2 in 33 min, Oct 23 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 6 of 8 games against UTAH on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 2.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 2.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 63%; at −169
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Minutes: 31.2; 10 games · 29.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 59%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5201 book	—	10/10
−1692 books	+1272 books	5/10
+1492 books	—	2/10
+3081 book	—	0/10
+6972 books	—	0/10
+12801 book	—	0/10
+23001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−168Best	+126
DraftKings7 min ago	−170	+129Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over −168 → −169 since first seen

Zion Williamson's full game log and splits