Ziaire Williams

Los Angeles Lakers · F · #11

LAL @ SAC · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under8.5

Over 8.5 Points, typical price −1103 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

4 of his last 5 came before Williams missed 3 games. Since he came back: Over 8.5 in 1 of 1.

TodayBack from an absence
Today's game is his 2nd back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 28 – Nov 1)
Over 8.5 since: 1 of 1
TodayDefense vs forwards
SAC allow 65.0 points a game to forwards: the most of 30
7 games
New team
5 games with LAL; before that, BKN
Over 8.5 with LAL: 5 of 5; his last 10 games before: 7 of 10
Minutes
Last 5: 25.8 min · 2025–26: 22.9 (56 games)

90%9 of 10L10

Over 8.5 Points cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).

at POR, 2026-03-23: 16, cleared, 24 min
at GS, 2026-03-25: 19, cleared, 24 min
at LAL, 2026-03-27: 16, cleared, 25 min
vs CHA, 2026-03-31: 10, cleared, 24 min
vs ATL, 2026-04-03: 8, missed, 21 min
vs GS, 2026-10-21: 9, cleared, 24 min
vs LAC, 2026-10-23: 14, cleared, 31 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-25: 11, cleared, 30 min
vs POR, 2026-10-27: 11, cleared, 29 min
vs MIA, 2026-11-02: 9, cleared, 15 min

ClearedMissedThe 8.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against SAC in his last 10; Over 8.5 cleared in 1 of 4 against SAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 8.5 · L10

Luka DoncicG
Austin ReavesG
Walker KesslerC

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Lakers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SAC

Williams didn't play the Mar 1 meeting; points the last time Williams faced them: 18 (Mar 22)

Over 8.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against SAC on record

L10 · Over 8.5

Average: 12.3; +3.8 vs line
Median: 11; +2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 90%; 9 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −110
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Minutes: 24.7; 10 games · 22.9 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 8.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5001 book	—	10/10
−3231 book	—	10/10
−1571 book	—	10/10
−1103 books	−1203 books	9/10
+1202 books	—	7/10
+2191 book	—	4/10
+4922 books	—	3/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 8.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
FanDuel5 min ago	−108Best	−122
Pinnacle10 min ago	−110	−120
DraftKings10 min ago	−116	−110Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

Over No move since first seen

Ziaire Williams's full game log and splits