Zach LaVine

Sacramento Kings · G · #8

SA @ SAC · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Rebounds, typical price −1577 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

75%6 of 8L20 · Without Raynaud

Over 2.5 Rebounds cleared in 6 of 8 games without Maxime Raynaud (his last 20 games).

vs LAL, 2026-01-12: 4, cleared, 32 min (not counted)
vs NY, 2026-01-14: 5, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
vs WSH, 2026-01-16: 2, missed, 32 min (not counted)
vs POR, 2026-01-18: 0, missed, 29 min (not counted)
vs MIA, 2026-01-20: 1, missed, 22 min (not counted)
vs TOR, 2026-01-21: 1, missed, 38 min (not counted)
at CLE, 2026-01-23: 0, missed, 23 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-01-29: 1, missed, 29 min (not counted)
at BOS, 2026-01-30: 4, cleared, 23 min (not counted)
at WSH, 2026-02-01: 6, cleared, 35 min (not counted)
vs MEM, 2026-02-04: 1, missed, 22 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-02-06: 2, missed, 18 min (not counted)
at LAC, 2026-10-21: 4, cleared, 34 min
vs POR, 2026-10-23: 5, cleared, 39 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-25: 2, missed, 40 min
at SA, 2026-10-27: 3, cleared, 31 min
at NO, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 39 min
at MEM, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 21 min
at DAL, 2026-11-02: 4, cleared, 28 min
vs LAL, 2026-11-04: 4, cleared, 35 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–6.3 rebounds.

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Maxime Raynaud: Out (knee)
Over 2.5 without him: 12 of 16; with him: 13 of 31 (47 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs guards
SA allow 20.8 rebounds a game to guards: the most of 30
8 games
TodayGame lines
SAC +17.5 · total 230.5 (7 sportsbooks): a big spread
SAC's games this season closed at 231.9 on average (8 games)
Teammate out
Keegan Murray: Out (ankle)
Over 2.5 without him: 10 of 21; with him: 6 of 13 (34 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20

Darius Acuff Jr.G
Maxime RaynaudCOut
Domantas SabonisF
Keegan MurrayFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SA

Rebounds: 3 in 31 min, Oct 27 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 5 of 6 games against SA on record

L20 · Without Raynaud · Over 2.5

Average: 3.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 3.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 75%; 6 of 8
Price implies: 61%; at −157
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −129

Research, not a pick. At −132 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −129, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Raynaud

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−4553 books	—	7/8
−1577 books	+1156 books	6/8
+1456 books	−1901 book	4/8
+3005 books	—	1/8
+5755 books	—	0/8
+10002 books	—	0/8
+23001 book	—	0/8

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Pinnacle3 min ago	−132Best	−100
FanDuel1 min ago	−146	+110
Bally Bet3 min ago	−157	—
betPARX3 min ago	−157	+115
BetRivers1 min ago	−157	+115
DraftKings3 min ago	−157	+119
Bovada6 min ago	−160	+120Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:25 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

3.5 → 2.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Zach LaVine's full game log and splits