Zach Edey
NO @ MEM · Mon, Nov 2 8:00 PM
Game log against Over 7.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 7.5 Rebounds cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 2.1–15.5 rebounds.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 7.5
- Average
- 10.4
- +2.9 vs line
- Median
- 9.5
- +2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 58%
- at −137
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −130
Research, not a pick. At −129 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −130, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −8353 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −4003 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −2303 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1374 books | +1002 books | 7/10 | |
| +1143 books | −1371 book | 6/10 | |
| +1753 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +2603 books | — | 3/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 7.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 7.5 | Under 7.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle10 hr ago | −129Best | −103 |
| Bally Bet10 hr ago | −137 | — |
| betPARX10 hr ago | −137 | +104Best |
| DraftKings10 hr ago | −154 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
7.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+4%
This page last updated 8:12 PM ET.