Walker Kessler

Los Angeles Lakers · C · #14

MIA @ LALHeat @ Lakers · Today 10:00 PM ET

The line

Over 0.5 Steals

−1433 sportsbooks

Game log

Over 0.5

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

vs PHX: 0, missed
vs POR: 1, cleared
at PHX: 1, cleared
vs GS: 0, missed
vs LAC: 3, cleared
at UTAH: 0, missed
vs POR: 1, cleared
at LAC: 2, cleared
at GS: 0, missed
vs TOR: 1, cleared

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 steals.

Home and away

L10 · Over 0.5

Hometonight

67%

4 of 6

Away

50%

2 of 4

L10 · Over 0.5 Steals

Average: 0.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 59%; −143, 3 sportsbooks
Market’s fair: 55%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −152

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Research, not a pick. At −143 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −152, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet28 min ago	−143Best	—
betPARX28 min ago	−143Best	+106Best
BetRivers26 min ago	−143Best	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price