VJ Edgecombe

Philadelphia 76ers · G · #77

PHI @ CLE · Tomorrow 7:30 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Assists, typical price −1414 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Assists cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

vs NY, 2026-05-08: 4, cleared, 40 min
vs NY, 2026-05-10: 7, cleared, 30 min
at NY, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 35 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 6, cleared, 33 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 30 min
at IND, 2026-10-28: 2, missed, 29 min
vs NY, 2026-10-30: 2, missed, 36 min
at CHA, 2026-10-31: 3, cleared, 37 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 5, cleared, 33 min
at DET, 2026-11-04: 3, cleared, 35 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tomorrow's game: a typical game lands 1–5 assists.

What's different tomorrow

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 2.5 without him: 15 of 20; with him: 56 of 74 (94 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
CLE allow 16.1 assists a game to guards: 13th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 34 min · 2026–27: 33.5 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at DET

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
Jaylen BrownG
Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tomorrow. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Assists: 6 in 33 min, Oct 22 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against CLE on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 3.5; +1 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 59%; at −141
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −135

Research, not a pick. At −138 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −135, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4203 books	—	9/10
−1414 books	+1044 books	6/10
+1653 books	—	4/10
+3502 books	—	3/10
+8701 book	—	2/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel3 min ago	−138Best	+104
Pinnacle4 min ago	−138Best	+104
betPARX3 min ago	−141	+105Best
BetRivers3 min ago	−141	+105Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:36 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: −138 → −141 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

VJ Edgecombe's full game log and splits