Tyrese Maxey
PHI @ CLE · Today 7:30 PM
Game log against Over 4.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 4.5 Assists cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 3–8 assists.
What's different today
Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 4.5 without him: 15 of 22; with him: 51 of 68 (90 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
CLE allow 16.1 assists a game to guards: 13th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 36.4 min · 2026–27: 37.1 (9 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at DET
Splits
Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 4.5 · L10Joel EmbiidC
Jaylen BrownG
LeBron JamesF
Dominick BarlowFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CLE
Assists: 6 in 42 min, Oct 22 (home)
Over 4.5 hit in 7 of 9 games against CLE on record
L10 · Over 4.5
- Average
- 5.3
- +0.8 vs line
- Median
- 4
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 58%
- at −136
- Books’ fair
- 54%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −133
Research, not a pick. At −130 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −133, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −70001 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −8354 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −2865 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −1366 books | +1025 books | 4/10 | |
| +1505 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +2754 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +4755 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 | Under 4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −130Best | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | −130Best | −104 |
| BetRivers6 min ago | −130Best | −104 |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | −136 | +102 |
| FanDuel4 min ago | −138 | +104 |
| DraftKings5 min ago | −145 | +110Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
4.5Over: −138 → −136 since first seen