Tyrese Maxey

Philadelphia 76ers · G · #0

PHI @ CLE · Tomorrow 7:30 PM

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 Assists, typical price −1321 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Assists cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

vs NY, 2026-05-10: 4, missed, 33 min
at NY, 2026-10-20: 5, cleared, 40 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 6, cleared, 42 min
vs MIL, 2026-10-24: 4, missed, 36 min
vs DET, 2026-10-25: 4, missed, 34 min
at IND, 2026-10-28: 4, missed, 36 min
vs NY, 2026-10-30: 4, missed, 38 min
at CHA, 2026-10-31: 4, missed, 38 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 11, cleared, 36 min
at DET, 2026-11-04: 7, cleared, 34 min

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tomorrow's game: a typical game lands 3–8 assists.

What's different tomorrow

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 4.5 without him: 15 of 22; with him: 51 of 68 (90 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
CLE allow 16.1 assists a game to guards: 13th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 36.4 min · 2026–27: 37.1 (9 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at DET

Splits

Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L10

Joel EmbiidC
Jaylen BrownG
LeBron JamesF
Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tomorrow. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Assists: 6 in 42 min, Oct 22 (home)

Over 4.5 hit in 7 of 9 games against CLE on record

L10 · Over 4.5

Average: 5.3; +0.8 vs line
Median: 4; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −132
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −131

Research, not a pick. At −132 the price is worse than our fair −131, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−60001 book	—	10/10
−3101 book	—	10/10
−1321 book	+1001 book	4/10
+1621 book	—	3/10
+5601 book	—	1/10
+14001 book	—	1/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
FanDuel4 min ago	−132Best	+100Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:15 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

Over: −138 → −132 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Tyrese Maxey's full game log and splits