Ty Jerome

Memphis Grizzlies · G · #2

IND @ MEM · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under6.5

Under 6.5 Assists, typical price −1621 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 6.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayMinutes
Last 5: 31 min · 2025–26: 22.7 (15 games) · up 37%
Teammate out
Scotty Pippen Jr.: Out (back)
Under 6.5 without him: 5 of 10; with him: 7 of 11 (21 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
IND allow 14.5 assists a game to guards: 22nd most of 30
8 games
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs NO

70%7 of 10L10

Under 6.5 Assists hit in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

at DET, 2026-03-13: 3, hit, 25 min
vs DEN, 2026-03-18: 9, missed, 25 min
vs BOS, 2026-03-20: 7, missed, 25 min
at ATL, 2026-03-23: 4, hit, 24 min
vs UTAH, 2026-10-21: 6, hit, 32 min
at GS, 2026-10-23: 5, hit, 32 min
at SAC, 2026-10-25: 6, hit, 32 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-26: 8, missed, 30 min
at POR, 2026-10-29: 3, hit, 24 min
vs NO, 2026-11-02: 5, hit, 37 min

Under hitMissedThe 6.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 3–9 assists.

Splits

Under 6.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against IND in his last 10; Under 6.5 hit in 5 of 6 against IND on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 6.5 · L10

Cameron BoozerF
GG JacksonF
Cedric CowardF
Scotty Pippen Jr.GOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Grizzlies count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs IND

Jerome didn't play the Mar 1 meeting; assists the last time Jerome faced them: 2 (May 13, 2025)

Under 6.5 hit in 5 of 6 games against IND on record

L10 · Under 6.5

Average: 5.6; −0.9 vs line
Median: 5.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −162
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −135

Research, not a pick. At −162 the price is worse than our fair −135, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7701 book	—	2/10
−1561 book	pick'em only	5/10
+1221 book	−1621 book	7/10
+2301 book	—	8/10
+6001 book	—	10/10
+14001 book	—	10/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 6.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 6.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 6.5	Under 6.5
FanDuel2 min ago	+122Best	−162Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:53 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

6.5

−138 → −162 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Ty Jerome's full game log and splits