Tre Jones

Chicago Bulls · G · #30

CHI @ NY · Live

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −1201 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 7 on the road).

at WSH, 2026-04-09: 1, cleared, 30 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-10: 0, missed, 26 min
at DAL, 2026-04-12: 1, cleared, 19 min
at TOR, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 13 min
at MIL, 2026-10-23: 2, cleared, 24 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 18 min
at BOS, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 15 min
vs NY, 2026-10-28: 1, cleared, 18 min
at BOS, 2026-10-30: 4, cleared, 20 min
at PHI, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 19 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–2 steals.

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayDefense vs guards
NY allow 3.0 steals a game to guards: 29th most of 30
7 games
YesterdayMinutes
Last 5: 18 min · 2025–26: 27 (65 games) · down 33%
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at PHI
3rd straight road game
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
NY 25th, CHI 1st of 30

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Caleb WilsonF
Norman PowellG
Matas BuzelisF

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Bulls count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NY

Steals: 1 in 18 min, Oct 28 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 5 of 9 games against NY on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −137

Research, not a pick. At −120 the price beats our fair −137, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	−1201 book	pick'em only	7/10
	+3701 book	—	2/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet8 hr ago	−120Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −118 → −120 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Tre Jones's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.