Tre Jones
CHI @ NY · LiveGame log against Over 5.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 5.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 7 on the road).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 2.3–11.6 reb+ast.
What's different yesterday
Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pickYesterdayMinutes
Last 5: 18 min · 2025–26: 27 (65 games) · down 33%
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at PHI
3rd straight road game
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
NY 25th, CHI 1st of 30
NY injuries
Josh Hart (G, Out, 32.9 min)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)
Splits
Over 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 5.5 · L10Caleb WilsonF
Norman PowellG
Matas BuzelisF
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Bulls count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NY
Reb+Ast: 7 in 18 min, Oct 28 (home)
Over 5.5 hit in 7 of 9 games against NY on record
L10 · Over 5.5
- Average
- 6.3
- +0.8 vs line
- Median
- 6.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −109
- Books’ fair
- 47%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −135
Research, not a pick. At −101 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −135, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1901 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −1092 books | −1311 book | 6/10 | |
| +5751 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks at 5.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings11 hr ago | −101Best | −131Best |
| Bally Bet11 hr ago | −109 | — |
Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
5.5Over: +101 → −109 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.


