Tre Jones

Chicago Bulls · G · #30

CHI @ NY · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under12.5

Over 12.5 Pts+Ast, typical price −1122 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 12.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayMinutes
Last 5: 18 min · 2025–26: 27 (65 games) · down 33%
TodayGame lines
CHI +12.5 · total 232.5 (6 sportsbooks): a big spread
CHI's games this season closed at 238.2 on average (7 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at PHI
3rd straight road game
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
NY 25th, CHI 1st of 30

70%7 of 10L10

Over 12.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 7 on the road).

at WSH, 2026-04-09: 34, cleared, 30 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-10: 27, cleared, 26 min
at DAL, 2026-04-12: 8, missed, 19 min
at TOR, 2026-10-21: 13, cleared, 13 min
at MIL, 2026-10-23: 19, cleared, 24 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-24: 13, cleared, 18 min
at BOS, 2026-10-26: 8, missed, 15 min
vs NY, 2026-10-28: 14, cleared, 18 min
at BOS, 2026-10-30: 16, cleared, 20 min
at PHI, 2026-11-02: 11, missed, 19 min

ClearedMissedThe 12.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 7.2–27.2 pts+ast.

Splits

Over 12.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 12.5 · L10

Caleb WilsonF
Norman PowellG
Matas BuzelisF

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Bulls count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NY

Pts+Ast: 14 in 18 min, Oct 28 (home)

Over 12.5 hit in 6 of 9 games against NY on record

L10 · Over 12.5

Average: 16.3; +3.8 vs line
Median: 13.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −112
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −155

Research, not a pick. At −108 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −155, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−25001 book	—	10/10
−2621 book	—	8/10
−1122 books	−1222 books	7/10
+1461 book	—	4/10
+4541 book	—	2/10
+12401 book	—	2/10
+25001 book	—	1/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 12.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 12.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 12.5	Under 12.5
FanDuel3 min ago	−108Best	−122
DraftKings6 min ago	−112	−117Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:47 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

12.5

Over −109 → −112 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Tre Jones's full game log and splits