Tre Jones

Chicago Bulls · G · #30

CHI @ NY · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under3.5

Under 3.5 Assists, typical price −1653 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs guards
NY allow 12.1 assists a game to guards: the fewest of 30
7 games
TodayMinutes
Last 5: 18 min · 2025–26: 27 (65 games) · down 33%
TodayGame lines
CHI +12.5 · total 232.5 (6 sportsbooks): a big spread
CHI's games this season closed at 238.2 on average (7 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at PHI
3rd straight road game

70%7 of 10L10

Under 3.5 Assists hit in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 7 on the road).

at WSH, 2026-04-09: 3, hit, 30 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-10: 4, missed, 26 min
at DAL, 2026-04-12: 2, hit, 19 min
at TOR, 2026-10-21: 0, hit, 13 min
at MIL, 2026-10-23: 8, missed, 24 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-24: 3, hit, 18 min
at BOS, 2026-10-26: 0, hit, 15 min
vs NY, 2026-10-28: 3, hit, 18 min
at BOS, 2026-10-30: 4, missed, 20 min
at PHI, 2026-11-02: 3, hit, 19 min

Under hitMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–6 assists.

Splits

Under 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 3.5 · L10

Caleb WilsonF
Norman PowellG
Matas BuzelisF

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Bulls count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NY

Assists: 3 in 18 min, Oct 28 (home)

Under 3.5 hit in 4 of 9 games against NY on record

L10 · Under 3.5

Average: 3; −0.5 vs line
Median: 3; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −165
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −129

Research, not a pick. At −164 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −129, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4301 book	—	2/10
−2002 books	+1501 book	3/10
+1253 books	−1653 books	7/10
+2502 books	—	9/10
+5052 books	—	9/10
+9202 books	—	9/10
+16802 books	—	9/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
DraftKings2 min ago	+124	−164Best
Bovada1 min ago	+125	−165
FanDuel2 min ago	+148Best	−200

Prices as of 2:29 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

−200 → −165 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Tre Jones's full game log and splits