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Toumani Camara
POR @ DENTrail Blazers @ Nuggets · Today 9:00 PM ET
The line
Under 1.5 Steals
Typical price −1925 sportsbooksbest −175
Game log
Under 1.5Under 1.5 Steals hit in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 steals.
Home and away
L10 · Under 1.5Home
75%
3 of 4
Awaytonight
33%
2 of 6
L10 · Under 1.5 Steals
- Average
- 1.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 1.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 66%
- −192, 5 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 61%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −129
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −175 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −129, so it isn't worth it.
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX41 min ago | +128 | −175Best |
| FanDuel38 min ago | +142 | −192 |
| DraftKings45 min ago | +158Best | −212 |
| Bally Bet41 min ago | +128 | — |
| BetRivers38 min ago | +128 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET.
Every posted line
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3455 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +1285 books | −1923 books | 5/10 | |
| +3705 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +12482 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +26001 book | — | 10/10 |
What moved our number
Pace+2%