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Toumani Camara

Portland Trail Blazers · F · #33

POR @ PHX · Live
OverUnder3.5
Over 3.5 Rebounds, typical price −1734 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 3.5

62%8 of 13L20 · Without Sharpe

Over 3.5 Rebounds cleared in 8 of 13 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).

  1. vs MIL, 2026-03-25: 3, missed, 24 min
  2. vs DAL, 2026-03-27: 5, cleared, 39 min
  3. vs WSH, 2026-03-29: 7, cleared, 28 min
  4. at LAC, 2026-03-31: 7, cleared, 33 min
  5. vs NO, 2026-04-02: 4, cleared, 39 min
  6. at DEN, 2026-04-06: 5, cleared, 35 min
  7. at SA, 2026-04-08: 4, cleared, 40 min
  8. vs LAC, 2026-04-10: 1, missed, 33 min (not counted)
  9. vs SAC, 2026-04-12: 4, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
  10. at SA, 2026-04-19: 2, missed, 32 min (not counted)
  11. at SA, 2026-04-21: 9, cleared, 35 min (not counted)
  12. vs SA, 2026-04-24: 3, missed, 33 min (not counted)
  13. vs SA, 2026-04-26: 5, cleared, 31 min (not counted)
  14. at SA, 2026-04-28: 8, cleared, 33 min (not counted)
  15. vs PHX, 2026-10-21: 2, missed, 23 min
  16. at SAC, 2026-10-23: 3, missed, 27 min
  17. at LAL, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 24 min
  18. vs MEM, 2026-10-29: 2, missed, 26 min
  19. at UTAH, 2026-10-31: 4, cleared, 31 min
  20. at DEN, 2026-11-02: 5, cleared, 31 min
ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0.6–7.2 rebounds.

What's different yesterday

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • YesterdayTeammate out

    Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)

    Over 3.5 without him: 26 of 38; with him: 40 of 55 (93 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)

    Over 3.5 without him: 2 of 2; with him: 0 of 4 (6 games as teammates). A small sample.

  • Defense vs forwards

    PHX allow 15.8 rebounds a game to forwards: 25th most of 30

    5 games

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 27.8 min · 2025–26: 33.3 (87 games)

Splits

Over 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L20
  • Deni AvdijaF

  • Damian LillardG

  • Shaedon SharpeGOut

  • Ja MorantGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHX

Rebounds: 2 in 23 min, Oct 21 (home)

Over 3.5 hit in 6 of 8 games against PHX on record

L20 · Without Sharpe · Over 3.5

Average
4
+0.5 vs line
Median
4
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
62%
8 of 13
Price implies
63%
at −173
Books’ fair
59%
margin removed
Our chance
58%
estimate · fair −139

Research, not a pick. At −170 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −139, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Sharpe
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−16673 books—12/13
−4404 books—10/13
−1734 books+1282 books8/13
+1204 books−1602 books5/13
+2152 books—2/13
+3854 books—2/13
+6502 books—0/13
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 3.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 3.5Under 3.5
Bovada26 hr ago−170Best+130Best
Pinnacle26 hr ago−171+128
DraftKings26 hr ago−173—
Bally Bet26 hr ago−175—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 9:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

−168 → −173 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%
Toumani Camara's full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:13 PM ET.