Tari Eason

Houston Rockets · F · #17

MIN @ HOU · Live

Over only1.5

Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks, typical price −1431 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

at LAL, 2026-04-29: 1, missed, 31 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-01: 4, cleared, 37 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-21: 1, missed, 3 min
at SA, 2026-10-23: 4, cleared, 27 min
at ATL, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 31 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-26: 3, cleared, 33 min
at MIL, 2026-10-28: 3, cleared, 31 min
at DAL, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 26 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-31: 3, cleared, 19 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 27 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 1–4 steals+blocks.

What's different yesterday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 1.5 without him: 31 of 56; with him: 9 of 18 (74 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 27.2 min · 2026–27: 24.6 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS
Pace · possessions a game · 8 games
MIN 7th, HOU 29th of 30

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 4 of 5 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Kevin DurantF
Alperen SengunC
Amen ThompsonG
Steven AdamsCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Steals+Blocks: 2 in 24 min, Apr 10 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.4; +0.9 vs line
Median: 2.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 59%; at −143
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −159

Research, not a pick. At −143 the price beats our fair −159, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−6251 book	10/10
	−1431 book	7/10
	+2001 book	5/10
	+4501 book	2/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ steals+blocks”), with no Under to take.

Compare 1 sportsbook at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5
Bally Bet12 hr ago	−143Best

Prices as of 8:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Tari Eason's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:43 PM ET.