Tari Eason

Houston Rockets · F · #17

MIN @ HOU · Today 8:30 PM

Over Under14.5

Over 14.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1203 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 14.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 14.5 without him: 34 of 56; with him: 11 of 19 (75 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 27.2 min · 2026–27: 24.6 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS
Game lines
HOU −8.5 · total 220.5 (8 sportsbooks)
HOU's games this season closed at 224.5 on average (8 games)

70%7 of 10L10

Over 14.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

at LAL, 2026-04-29: 23, cleared, 31 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-01: 19, cleared, 37 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-21: 3, missed, 3 min
at SA, 2026-10-23: 18, cleared, 27 min
at ATL, 2026-10-24: 22, cleared, 31 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-26: 21, cleared, 33 min
at MIL, 2026-10-28: 14, missed, 31 min
at DAL, 2026-10-30: 24, cleared, 26 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-31: 11, missed, 19 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-02: 17, cleared, 27 min

ClearedMissedThe 14.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 8.7–26.7 pts+reb.

Splits

Over 14.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 14.5 cleared in 1 of 5 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 14.5 · L10

Kevin DurantF
Alperen SengunC
Amen ThompsonG
Steven AdamsCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Pts+Reb: 1 in 24 min, Apr 10 (home)

Over 14.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 14.5

Average: 17.2; +2.7 vs line
Median: 18.5; +4 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −150

Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −150, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5221 book	—	9/10
−1601 book	+1201 book	8/10
−1203 books	−1103 books	7/10
+1101 book	−1451 book	7/10
+2711 book	—	4/10
+8001 book	—	0/10
+19201 book	—	0/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 14.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 14.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 14.5	Under 14.5
Bovada14 min ago	−120Best	−110
DraftKings14 min ago	−120Best	−110
FanDuel3 min ago	−130	−102Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:00 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

14.5

Over: −130 → −120 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Tari Eason's full game log and splits