Stephon Castle

San Antonio Spurs · G · #5

SA @ SAC · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under22.5

Under 22.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1255 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 22.5 Pts+Reb hit in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 on the road).

at NY, 2026-06-10: 18, hit, 26 min
vs NY, 2026-06-13: 11, hit, 32 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-20: 31, missed, 28 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-23: 22, hit, 33 min
at DAL, 2026-10-24: 23, missed, 28 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-27: 20, hit, 27 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-28: 20, hit, 38 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-31: 5, hit, 22 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-02: 21, hit, 26 min
vs DAL, 2026-11-04: 27, missed, 35 min

Under hitMissedThe 22.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 12–28.7 pts+reb.

What's different today

Under 22.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayGame lines
SA −16.5 · total 229.5 (7 sportsbooks): a big spread
SA's games this season closed at 229 on average (8 games)
Minutes
Last 5: 29.6 min · 2026–27: 29.6 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs DAL
Pace · possessions a game · 8 games
SAC 5th, SA 11th of 30

Splits

Under 22.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 22.5 · L10

Victor WembanyamaF
Dylan HarperG
De'Aaron FoxG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Spurs count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SAC

Pts+Reb: 20 in 27 min, Oct 27 (home)

Under 22.5 hit in 6 of 8 games against SAC on record

L10 · Under 22.5

Average: 19.8; −2.7 vs line
Median: 20.5; −2 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −134

Research, not a pick. At −116 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −134, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−36001 book	—	1/10
−6701 book	—	2/10
−2004 books	—	3/10
−1085 books	−1253 books	7/10
+1354 books	—	8/10
+3204 books	—	9/10
+8001 book	—	10/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 22.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 22.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 22.5	Under 22.5
DraftKings12 min ago	−113	−116Best
betPARX3 min ago	−108	−125
FanDueljust now	−104Best	−128
Bally Bet11 min ago	−108	—
BetRivers3 min ago	−108	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

22.5

21.5 → 22.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Stephon Castle's full game log and splits