Scottie BarnesDay-To-Day
TOR @ MIL · Today 8:00 PM
Game log against Over 0.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 3-pointers made.
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs forwards
MIL allow 4.9 threes made a game to forwards: 11th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 35.2 min · 2026–27: 33.4 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at DEN
4th straight road game
Game lines
TOR −6.5 · total 229.5 (6 sportsbooks)
TOR's games this season closed at 228.6 on average (8 games)
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIL in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against MIL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10RJ BarrettF
Immanuel QuickleyG
Collin Murray-BoylesF
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Raptors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIL
Barnes didn't play the Feb 22 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time Barnes faced them: 2 (Dec 18, 2025)
Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against MIL on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Median
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 67%
- at −200
- Books’ fair
- 61%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −131
Research, not a pick. At −178 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −131, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2007 books | +1433 books | 5/10 | |
| +2156 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +6506 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +17003 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +35001 book | — | 0/10 | |
| +50001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle3 min ago | −178Best | +133 |
| Bally Bet3 min ago | −200 | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −200 | +143Best |
| BetRivers1 min ago | −200 | +143Best |
| DraftKings3 min ago | −225 | — |
| FanDuel1 min ago | −230 | — |
| Bovada3 min ago | −240 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 12:31 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5−240 → −200 since first seen