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Scottie BarnesDay-To-Day

Toronto Raptors · F · #4

TOR @ MIL · Today 8:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −2007 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 0.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

  1. vs CLE, 2026-05-01: 0, missed, 48 min
  2. at CLE, 2026-05-03: 1, cleared, 37 min
  3. vs CHI, 2026-10-21: 1, cleared, 26 min
  4. at WSH, 2026-10-23: 1, cleared, 37 min
  5. at MIN, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 28 min
  6. vs ORL, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 31 min
  7. vs ORL, 2026-10-30: 1, cleared, 39 min
  8. at LAL, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 36 min
  9. at LAC, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 38 min
  10. at DEN, 2026-11-04: 1, cleared, 32 min
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 3-pointers made.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Defense vs forwards

    MIL allow 4.9 threes made a game to forwards: 11th most of 30

    8 games

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 35.2 min · 2026–27: 33.4 (8 games)

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 4 at DEN

    4th straight road game

  • Game lines

    TOR −6.5 · total 231.5 (6 sportsbooks)

    TOR's games this season closed at 228.6 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIL in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against MIL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10
  • RJ BarrettF

  • Immanuel QuickleyG

  • Collin Murray-BoylesF

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Raptors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIL

Barnes didn't play the Feb 22 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time Barnes faced them: 2 (Dec 18, 2025)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against MIL on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average
0.5
±0 vs line
Median
0.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
67%
at −200
Books’ fair
63%
margin removed
Our chance
58%
estimate · fair −136

Research, not a pick. At −187 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −136, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2007 books+1435 books5/10
+2056 books−2801 book0/10
+6403 books—0/10
+17003 books—0/10
+35001 book—0/10
+50001 book—0/10
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
Pinnacle10 min ago−187Best+139
Bally Bet10 min ago−200—
betPARX5 min ago−200+143
BetRivers6 min ago−200+143
DraftKings10 min ago−227+170Best
Bovada9 min ago−230+170Best
FanDuel4 min ago−230—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 8:50 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−240 → −200 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%
Scottie Barnes's full game log and splits